Lithuaniavs
Liechtenstein
Our model gives Lithuania a 77% chance of winning, built on an expected-goals edge of 1.9 to 0.3. The price is short at 1.12, so this works best as part of a double or acca.
Full analysisMonday 16 November: 66 Match winner (1X2) tips today, average chance 58%. Top tip: Lithuania vs Liechtenstein – Lithuania to win at 77%.
Our 1, X or 2 call for every priced match, strongest first. Best tips at the top – open any match to read the full analysis.
Our model gives Lithuania a 77% chance of winning, built on an expected-goals edge of 1.9 to 0.3. The price is short at 1.12, so this works best as part of a double or acca.
Full analysisAlgeria U23 rate as the better side on attack and defence alike – 2.0 expected goals for, 0.5 against. The price is short at 1.20, so this works best as part of a double or acca.
Full analysisGuinea rate as the better side on attack and defence alike – 2.1 expected goals for, 0.6 against. At 1.36 the market agrees with us, so this is a solid rather than spectacular price.
Full analysisOur model gives Marko a 74% chance of winning, built on an expected-goals edge of 2.3 to 0.6. Marko's recent form is mixed (2 W, 1 D, 1 L), while Zakynthos lost last time out. At 1.11 there is little value on its own – better as a building block.
Full analysis66 matches on Monday 16 November qualify for this market today, averaging 58%. The strongest still to play is Lithuania vs Liechtenstein (UEFA Nations League): Lithuania to win at 77%, priced at 1.12. Most picks come from Europe UEFA Nations League (10), Iran Azadegan League (8), Africa Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification (6). 33 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.
The match result market – also called 1X2 – asks one question: who wins after 90 minutes? 1 is the home side, X a draw and 2 the away side.
Back Liverpool at home to Everton and any Liverpool win pays, whether it ends 1–0 or 5–1. A draw or an Everton win means the bet loses. Because three outcomes are possible, even heavy favourites lose more often than many punters expect.
Our best result tips usually share three things: a clear gap between the two teams' ratings, a favourite that creates plenty of chances, and odds bigger than our own fair price.
Every percentage comes from ScoreVoro's grid of likely scores, which is built each night from our team ratings and expected goals and adjusted with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. When a bookmaker offers more than our fair price (100 divided by the percentage), the tip is value as well. Read the full method on how it works.
Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.
Home win, draw and away win, settled on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
No. Cup ties that go to extra time are settled as a draw for match result bets.
From our ratings model: every team's attack and defence feed a goals forecast for each fixture, which we compare with market odds. This page lists our Match winner (1X2) tip for every match with odds, strongest first.
It is our chance of the tip winning. Divide 100 by it for the fair odds – 70% gives 1.43 – and any bigger price is value.
Yes. Every tip is settled won or lost on the 90-minute score, and yesterday's list stays on the Yesterday tab.