Match Winner Predictions yesterday

Yesterday's Match winner (1X2) picks: today's figures

550 matches on Saturday 14 November qualify for this market today, averaging 57%. Most picks come from England FA Trophy (40), Europe UEFA U19 Championship Qualification (23), Turkey 2. Lig (13). 277 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.

Match winner (1X2) explained

The match result market – also called 1X2 – asks one question: who wins after 90 minutes? 1 is the home side, X a draw and 2 the away side.

Back Liverpool at home to Everton and any Liverpool win pays, whether it ends 1–0 or 5–1. A draw or an Everton win means the bet loses. Because three outcomes are possible, even heavy favourites lose more often than many punters expect.

Where Match winner (1X2) makes sense

Our best result tips usually share three things: a clear gap between the two teams' ratings, a favourite that creates plenty of chances, and odds bigger than our own fair price.

Checklist

• Work out fair odds: 100 divided by our chance. Only a bigger price is worth taking.
• Look at home and away records separately – many teams are very different on the road.
• Every short-priced favourite you add to a slip adds another chance to lose.

Where these chances come from

Every percentage comes from ScoreVoro's grid of likely scores, which is built each night from our team ratings and expected goals and adjusted with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. When a bookmaker offers more than our fair price (100 divided by the percentage), the tip is value as well. Read the full method on how it works.

Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.