Eritreavs
Guinea
Guinea rate as the better side on attack and defence alike – 2.1 expected goals for, 0.6 against. At 1.36 the market agrees with us, so this is a solid rather than spectacular price.
Full analysisMonday 16 November: 17 away wins tips today, average chance 65%. Top tip: Eritrea vs Guinea – Guinea to win at 73%.
Visitors with a genuine chance of winning on the road. Best tips at the top – open any match to read the full analysis.
Guinea rate as the better side on attack and defence alike – 2.1 expected goals for, 0.6 against. At 1.36 the market agrees with us, so this is a solid rather than spectacular price.
Full analysisSenegal carry the stronger numbers here, with an expected 1.9 goals against 0.5 for the opposition. At 1.22 there is little value on its own – better as a building block.
Full analysisGhana rate as the better side on attack and defence alike – 2.1 expected goals for, 0.7 against. At 1.06 there is little value on its own – better as a building block.
Full analysisÁguila rate as the better side on attack and defence alike – 2.2 expected goals for, 0.7 against. Águila's recent form is mixed (2 W, 1 D, 1 L). The 1.43 on offer is close to fair for a 70% chance.
Full analysis17 matches on Monday 16 November qualify for this market today, averaging 65%. The strongest still to play is Eritrea vs Guinea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification): Guinea to win at 73%, priced at 1.36. Most picks come from Africa Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification (5), Europe UEFA Nations League (3), Uruguay Primera División Apertura (1). 9 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.
The away teams we give a real chance of winning on the road, ordered by how strongly we rate them.
Only an away win counts – a draw loses the bet.
Look for visitors with much better ratings, a home side in poor form, or a mismatch in expected goals.
Every percentage comes from ScoreVoro's grid of likely scores, which is built each night from our team ratings and expected goals and adjusted with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. When a bookmaker offers more than our fair price (100 divided by the percentage), the tip is value as well. Read the full method on how it works.
Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.
Often, because bookmakers price in home advantage – but check our chance against the odds.
The second-named team is treated as the away side.
From our ratings model: every team's attack and defence feed a goals forecast for each fixture, which we compare with market odds. This page lists our away wins tip for every match with odds, strongest first.
It is our chance of the tip winning. Divide 100 by it for the fair odds – 70% gives 1.43 – and any bigger price is value.
Yes. Every tip is settled won or lost on the 90-minute score, and yesterday's list stays on the Yesterday tab.