Monday 16 November: 1 draws tip today, average chance 55%. Top tip: England U21 vs France U21 – Draw at 55%.
Fixtures where a draw is the single likeliest result. Best tips at the top – open any match to read the full analysis.
England U21vs
France U21Very little separates these sides: we make it 26% home, 55% draw and 19% away. At 3.50 the price is bigger than our fair odds of 1.82, so there is value here.
Full analysis1 matches on Monday 16 November qualify for this market today, averaging 55%. The strongest still to play is England U21 vs France U21 (Friendlies): Draw at 55%, priced at 3.50. Most picks come from Friendlies (1). 1 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.
Matches where a draw is the single most likely result by our numbers.
Any level score wins – 0–0, 1–1 or 2–2. Draw odds are usually 2.90 to 3.60.
Evenly matched teams, low expected goals and sides that are happy with a point are the classic draw spots.
Every percentage comes from ScoreVoro's grid of likely scores, which is built each night from our team ratings and expected goals and adjusted with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. When a bookmaker offers more than our fair price (100 divided by the percentage), the tip is value as well. Read the full method on how it works.
Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.
Roughly one in four across most leagues.
Over a long run it can, but expect losing streaks.
From our ratings model: every team's attack and defence feed a goals forecast for each fixture, which we compare with market odds. This page lists our draws tip for every match with odds, strongest first.
It is our chance of the tip winning. Divide 100 by it for the fair odds – 70% gives 1.43 – and any bigger price is value.
Yes. Every tip is settled won or lost on the 90-minute score, and yesterday's list stays on the Yesterday tab.
