Lithuaniavs
Liechtenstein
Lithuania look unlikely to lose this one – we price 'win or draw' at 92%. We rate it a 92% chance.
Full analysisMonday 16 November: 17 double chance tips today, average chance 86%. Top tip: Lithuania vs Liechtenstein – Lithuania or draw at 92%.
1X or X2 picks where one side should avoid defeat. Best tips at the top – open any match to read the full analysis.
Lithuania look unlikely to lose this one – we price 'win or draw' at 92%. We rate it a 92% chance.
Full analysisMarko look unlikely to lose this one – we price 'win or draw' at 93%. Marko's recent form is mixed (2 W, 1 D, 1 L), while Zakynthos lost last time out. We rate it a 93% chance.
Full analysisBacking Senegal or the draw covers two of the three outcomes, and together they come to 89% on our numbers. We rate it a 89% chance.
Full analysisAzerbaijan look unlikely to lose this one – we price 'win or draw' at 90%. At 1.19 the price is bigger than our fair odds of 1.11, so there is value here.
Full analysis17 matches on Monday 16 November qualify for this market today, averaging 86%. The strongest still to play is Lithuania vs Liechtenstein (UEFA Nations League): Lithuania or draw at 92%. Most picks come from Europe UEFA Nations League (4), Greece Super League 2 (3), Africa Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification (2). 6 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.
Double chance lets you back two of the three results at once: 1X (home or draw), X2 (away or draw) or 12 (either team, no draw).
Take X2 on Sevilla away at Betis and you win if Sevilla win or draw; only a Betis win beats you. The safety net means low prices – usually between 1.10 and 1.50.
It works best for sides that are hard to beat but draw often, or for decent away teams facing strong hosts. We rarely tip 12, because its price seldom makes up for the draw risk.
Every percentage comes from ScoreVoro's grid of likely scores, which is built each night from our team ratings and expected goals and adjusted with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. When a bookmaker offers more than our fair price (100 divided by the percentage), the tip is value as well. Read the full method on how it works.
Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.
It wins more often than a straight result bet, but no bet is safe and the prices are short.
It depends on the match; our tip shows the option with the strongest chance at a fair price.
From our ratings model: every team's attack and defence feed a goals forecast for each fixture, which we compare with market odds. This page lists our double chance tip for every match with odds, strongest first.
It is our chance of the tip winning. Divide 100 by it for the fair odds – 70% gives 1.43 – and any bigger price is value.
Yes. Every tip is settled won or lost on the 90-minute score, and yesterday's list stays on the Yesterday tab.