Over 1.5 Goals Predictions yesterday

Yesterday's over 1.5 goals picks: today's figures

421 matches on Sunday 15 November qualify for this market today, averaging 74%. The strongest still to play is FC Inter Wanica vs Notch (Eerste Divisie): Over 1.5 goals at 80%. Most picks come from Spain Segunda División RFEF Group 3 (9), Italy Serie D Girone A (9), Italy Serie D Girone E (9). 1 of them are priced above our fair odds, so they also offer value.

Over 1.5 goals explained

Over 1.5 goals wins if the match has at least two goals in total.

2–0, 1–1 and 3–2 all win; 0–0 and 1–0 lose. Prices are low – typically 1.15 to 1.45.

Where over 1.5 goals makes sense

We choose games where our model expects around 2.6 goals or more and the bookmakers agree. Tense knockout ties are where it most often fails.

Checklist

• Check both sides' expected goals on the match page.
• If it is goalless after 25 minutes the in-play price rises.
• Keep over 1.5 combos to two or three legs.

Where these chances come from

Every percentage comes from ScoreVoro's grid of likely scores, which is built each night from our team ratings and expected goals and adjusted with the bookmakers' lines folded in for late team news. When a bookmaker offers more than our fair price (100 divided by the percentage), the tip is value as well. Read the full method on how it works.

Rather take a whole slip? Our daily slips are ready to copy. For longer odds see the value spots, or jump to another market.