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North & Central America: CONCACAF Nations League· Independence Park Full time

Jamaica vs Mexico prediction

JamaicaDWLWW
3–2
FT xG 0.64 – 1.88
MexicoLLDDL
ScoreVoro prediction · missedAway 0–1Large
Best tipUnder 3.575% chance · @1.22
Goals2.5 expectedOver 2.5 46% · BTTS 50%
1 · Jamaica7.7013% chanceX · Draw4.1519% chance2 · Mexico1.4168% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 22:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗

Under 3.5

Strong · fair odds 1.34

75%chance1.22odds8/10rating

Why we like it: We expect about 2.5 goals (Jamaica 0.6, Mexico 1.9), which stays clearly under the 3.5 line. Our model puts this at 75%. The price is short at 1.22, so this works best as part of a double or acca.

Value

GG @ 2.22 – our chance 50% vs 45% in the price (edge +12%)

Tips by market

Result2 ✗68% · @1.41
Double chanceX2 ✗87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreGG ✓50% · @2.22
GoalsUnder 3.5 ✗75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCS 0–1 ✗15%

Jamaica vs Mexico prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Jamaica vs Mexico. Competition: CONCACAF Nations League. Kick-off: Sunday 15 November, 02:00 WAT. Ground: Independence Park.

Current form

Jamaica – last 5: DWLWW Latest result: they drew with Honduras 1–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Mexico – last 5: LLDDL Latest result: they fell to Chile 0–2 (home). 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Form edge: Jamaica, with 1.8 points per game to 0.8.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Jamaica 0.6 – 1.9 Mexico, about 2.5 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 46%, GG 50%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Jamaica 13%, draw 19%, Mexico 68%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 50% at 2.22.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.22 – our chance 50%, the price implies 45%.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Jamaica 0–1 Mexico. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Jamaica13%fair 7.89 · @7.70
Draw19%fair 5.14 · @4.15
Mexico68%fair 1.47 · @1.41
2.52Expected goals
0.64Jamaica xG
1.88Mexico xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%

From our goals model: Jamaica 0.6 – 1.9 Mexico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result2 ✗68%1.471.41
Double chanceX2 ✗87%1.151.05
Both teams to scoreGG ✓50%1.992.22 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 ✓71%1.411.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 ✗54%1.861.74
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 ✗75%1.341.22
Half-time resultHT 2 ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-time2/2 ✗43%2.34–
Correct scoreCS 0–1 ✗15%6.60–

Recent results

Jamaica – last 6

DWLWWD
6 Oct@ Honduras1–1D
3 Oct@ El Salvador2–0W
29 Sepvs Honduras0–1L
26 Sepvs Guatemala3–2W
27 Mayvs India2–0W
31 Mar@ Congo DR0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Mexico – last 6

LLDDLW
7 Octvs Chile0–2L
4 Oct@ USA0–3L
30 Sepvs Peru1–1D
27 Sepvs Colombia1–1D
6 Julvs England2–3L
1 Julvs Ecuador2–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jamaica and Mexico.

Jamaica vs Mexico head-to-head page →

More CONCACAF Nations League predictions

League hub
FT St. Vincent Grenadines1Belize0 Over 1.5 1.22 76%

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jamaica vs Mexico?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (75% chance), priced at 1.22.

Who will win Jamaica vs Mexico?

Jamaica win 13% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Mexico 68%.

How many goals will there be in Jamaica vs Mexico?

Around 2.5 goals on our projection – 46% for over 2.5 and 50% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Jamaica vs Mexico?

ScoreVoro predicts Jamaica 0–1 Mexico. Total goals projected: 2.5.

When is Jamaica vs Mexico?

Jamaica vs Mexico (CONCACAF Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Independence Park.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.