Guatemala: Liga Nacional Full time

Malacateco vs Municipal prediction

0–1
FT xG 1.00 – 1.38
ScoreVoro prediction · correct ✓Away 0–1Medium
Best tipUnder 3.576% chance · @1.22
Goals2.4 expectedOver 2.5 44% · BTTS 49%
1 · Malacateco2.9332% chanceX · Draw3.1417% chance2 · Municipal2.2351% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 22:47 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Won ✓

Under 3.5

Strong · fair odds 1.31

76%chance1.22odds8/10rating

Why we like it: We expect about 2.4 goals (Malacateco 1.0, Municipal 1.4), which stays comfortably under the 3.5 line. Our model puts this at 76%. Malacateco are without a win in four. The price is short at 1.22, so this works best as part of a double or acca.

Value

2 @ 2.23 – our chance 51% vs 45% in the price (edge +13%)

Tips by market

Result2 ✓51% · @2.23
Double chance12 ✓83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNG ✓51% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCS 0–1 ✓13%

Malacateco vs Municipal prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Malacateco v Municipal, Liga Nacional – Sunday 15 November, 02:00 WAT. Here is how the ScoreVoro model sees it. Table check: Malacateco are 10th with 22 points from 22 games (in the relegation places), Municipal 2nd on 38 (in the top four). A 16-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.

Current form

Malacateco – last 5: LLLDW Latest result: they fell to Antigua GFC 0–2 (away). A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Municipal – last 5: LWLDD Latest result: they fell to Deportivo San Pedro 0–1 (away). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 4. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Head to head

Previous meeting (14 Sep 2026): Municipal 2–2 Malacateco. Head-to-head over 2 games: Malacateco 0, Municipal 1, draws 1 – 2.5 goals per game, GG in 1.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Malacateco 1.0 – 1.4 Municipal, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 44%, GG 49%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Malacateco 32%, draw 17%, Municipal 51%.
  • GG/NG: no – 51% at 1.88.
  • Value angle: Municipal to win at 2.23 – our chance 51%, the price implies 45%.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Malacateco 0–1 Municipal. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Malacateco32%fair 3.10 · @2.93
Draw17%fair 5.87 · @3.14
Municipal51%fair 1.97 · @2.23
2.38Expected goals
1.00Malacateco xG
1.38Municipal xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–29%

From our goals model: Malacateco 1.0 – 1.4 Municipal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result2 ✓51%1.972.23 ▲
Double chance12 ✓83%1.211.25
Both teams to scoreNG ✓51%1.971.88
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 ✗69%1.451.31
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 ✓56%1.791.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 ✓76%1.311.22
Half-time resultHT X ✗45%2.22–
Half-time / full-time2/2 ✓27%3.73–
Correct scoreCS 0–1 ✓13%7.84–

Recent results

Malacateco – last 6

LLLDWL
9 Nov@ Antigua GFC0–2L
3 Nov@ Suchitepéquez0–1L
29 Octvs Aurora0–2L
25 Oct@ Deportivo San Pedro2–2D
21 Octvs Comunicaciones1–0W
15 Oct@ Xelajú1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Municipal – last 6

LWLDDL
1 Nov@ Deportivo San Pedro0–1L
29 Octvs Comunicaciones3–1W
24 Oct@ Xelajú0–1L
21 Oct@ Mixco0–0D
19 Octvs Guastatoya1–1D
15 Oct@ Cobán Imperial1–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Sep 2026Municipal v Malacateco2–2
29 Mar 2026Municipal v Malacateco1–0
Malacateco vs Municipal head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Malacateco vs Municipal?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (76% chance), priced at 1.22.

Who will win Malacateco vs Municipal?

Malacateco win 32% of the time on our model, the draw 17%, Municipal 51%.

How many goals will there be in Malacateco vs Municipal?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 44% for over 2.5 and 49% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Malacateco vs Municipal?

ScoreVoro predicts Malacateco 0–1 Municipal. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Malacateco vs Municipal?

Malacateco vs Municipal (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.