Burkina-Faso: Ligue 1· Stade de la SONABEL Full time

SONABEL vs USFA prediction

SONABELLWWLL
3–2
FT xG 0.56 – 1.25
USFAWLWWW
ScoreVoro prediction · missedAway 0–1Medium
Best tipUnder 2.571% chance · @1.32
Goals1.8 expectedOver 2.5 29% · BTTS 46%
1 · SONABEL3.9020% chanceX · Draw2.8524% chance2 · USFA1.9457% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 16 Nov 2026, 00:21 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗

Under 2.5

Strong · fair odds 1.41

71%chance1.32odds7/10rating

Why we like it: Neither side is expected to run up a score – 1.8 goals combined. That makes it a 71% chance by our model. At 1.32 there is little value on its own – better as a building block.

Value

2 @ 1.94 – our chance 57% vs 52% in the price (edge +10%)

Tips by market

Result2 ✗57% · @1.94
Double chanceX2 ✗80% · @1.16
Both teams scoreNG ✗54% · @1.47
GoalsUnder 2.5 ✗71% · @1.32
Correct scoreCS 0–1 ✗21%

SONABEL vs USFA prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: SONABEL vs USFA. Competition: Ligue 1. Kick-off: Sunday 15 November, 16:30 WAT. Ground: Stade de la SONABEL. SONABEL come in 11th with 7 points and USFA 3rd with 17 – one in the bottom half, the other in the top four.

Current form

SONABEL – last 5: LWWLL Latest result: they fell to Rahimo 0–1 (away). 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

USFA – last 5: WLWWW Latest result: they beat Comoé 1–0 (home). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: USFA, with 2.2 points per game to 1.0.

Head to head

Previous meeting (1 Mar 2026): SONABEL 1–1 USFA.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: SONABEL 0.6 – 1.2 USFA, about 1.8 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 71%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: SONABEL 20%, draw 24%, USFA 57%.
  • Double chance option: USFA or draw – 80% at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: no – 54% at 1.47.
  • Value angle: USFA to win at 1.94 – our chance 57%, the price implies 52%.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Under 2.5 goals (71% chance, priced 1.32). Predicted score: SONABEL 0–1 USFA. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

SONABEL20%fair 5.09 · @3.90
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @2.85
USFA57%fair 1.77 · @1.94
1.80Expected goals
0.56SONABEL xG
1.25USFA xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–121%
0–016%
0–213%
1–111%
1–09%
1–27%

From our goals model: SONABEL 0.6 – 1.2 USFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result2 ✗57%1.771.94 ▲
Double chanceX2 ✗80%1.241.16
Both teams to scoreNG ✗54%1.851.47
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 ✓55%1.811.62
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 ✗71%1.411.32
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 ✗87%1.151.06
Half-time resultHT X ✗51%1.94–
Half-time / full-time2/2 ✗31%3.22–
Correct scoreCS 0–1 ✗21%4.87–

Recent results

SONABEL – last 6

LWWLLL
24 Oct@ Rahimo0–1L
10 Oct@ Sporting Cascades3–0W
5 Octvs Comoé2–0W
26 Sep@ FocuSport2–3L
18 Sepvs Majestic0–1L
13 Mar@ Vitesse0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

USFA – last 6

WLWWWD
24 Octvs Comoé1–0W
12 Octvs ASFA-Yennenga1–2L
4 Oct@ RCK2–0W
27 Sepvs Salitas3–0W
19 Sep@ Maya1–0W
3 Apr@ CFFEB1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Mar 2026SONABEL v USFA1–1
SONABEL vs USFA head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo9711+1122
2FocuSport9603+118
3USFA8521+717
4Réal du Faso9522+517
5Douanes9522+617
6ASFA-Yennenga9522+617
7Vitesse8431+415
8CFFEB8422+714
9ASFB9324-211
10Sporting Cascades9324-411
11SONABEL821507
12Majestic9216-67
13Maya8134-56
14Comoé9126-75
15RCK9126-125
16Salitas8116-114

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SONABEL vs USFA?

Our tip is Under 2.5 goals (71% chance), priced at 1.32.

Who will win SONABEL vs USFA?

SONABEL win 20% of the time on our model, the draw 24%, USFA 57%.

How many goals will there be in SONABEL vs USFA?

Around 1.8 goals on our projection – 29% for over 2.5 and 46% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for SONABEL vs USFA?

ScoreVoro predicts SONABEL 0–1 USFA. Total goals projected: 1.8.

When is SONABEL vs USFA?

SONABEL vs USFA (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la SONABEL.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.