Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr prediction
ScoreVoro prediction · missedHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 2.563% chance · @1.46
Goals2.1 expectedOver 2.5 37% · BTTS 53%
1 · Novin Ahvaz2.5242% chanceX · Draw2.6325% chance2 · Ario Eslamshahr2.8934% chance
SVTips by Ade Ola · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 16 Nov 2026, 00:05 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Won ✓Under 2.5
Good · fair odds 1.58
63%chance1.46odds6/10rating
Why we like it: We project only 2.1 goals in total (Novin Ahvaz 1.1, Ario Eslamshahr 1.0). Our model puts this at 63%. At 1.46 there is little value on its own – better as a building block.
ValueGG @ 2.07 – our chance 53% vs 48% in the price (edge +9%)
Tips by market
Result1 ✗42% · @2.52
Double chance12 ✗75% · @1.26
Both teams scoreGG ✗53% · @2.07
GoalsUnder 3.5 ✓83%
Correct scoreCS 1–0 ✗14%
Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Novin Ahvaz v Ario Eslamshahr, Azadegan League – Monday 9 November, 14:15 WAT. Here is how the ScoreVoro model sees it. Novin Ahvaz come in 9th with 12 points and Ario Eslamshahr 7th with 13 – one in the bottom half, the other in the top half. A gap of just 1 point – three points here could swing the table.
Current form
Novin Ahvaz – last 5: WDWDD Latest result: they beat Naft Bandar Abbas 1–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Ario Eslamshahr – last 5: LLWWL Latest result: they fell to Fard Alborz 0–3 (home). 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Goals outlook
ScoreVoro expected goals: Novin Ahvaz 1.1 – 1.0 Ario Eslamshahr, about 2.1 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Markets to consider
- 1X2 chances: Novin Ahvaz 42%, draw 25%, Ario Eslamshahr 34%.
- GG/NG: yes – 53% at 2.07.
- Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.07 – our chance 53%, the price implies 48%.
Our tip
Our pre-match tip was Under 2.5 goals (63% chance, priced 1.46). Predicted score: Novin Ahvaz 1–0 Ario Eslamshahr. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Novin Ahvaz42%fair 2.40 · @2.52
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.63
Ario Eslamshahr34%fair 2.98 · @2.89
2.13Expected goals
1.15Novin Ahvaz xG
0.99Ario Eslamshahr xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Novin Ahvaz 1.1 – 1.0 Ario Eslamshahr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|
| Match result | 1 ✗ | 42% | 2.40 | 2.52 ▲ |
| Double chance | 12 ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | GG ✗ | 53% | 1.90 | 2.07 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 ✗ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.43 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.46 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | – |
| Half-time result | HT X ✓ | 48% | 2.08 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | 1/1 ✗ | 22% | 4.50 | – |
| Correct score | CS 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.35 | – |
Recent results
Novin Ahvaz – last 6
WDWDDD
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ario Eslamshahr – last 6
LLWWLW
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Novin Ahvaz and Ario Eslamshahr.
Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr head-to-head page →
Azadegan League table
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Our tip is Under 2.5 goals (63% chance), priced at 1.46.
Who will win Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Novin Ahvaz win 42% of the time on our model, the draw 25%, Ario Eslamshahr 34%.
How many goals will there be in Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Around 2.1 goals on our projection – 37% for over 2.5 and 53% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
ScoreVoro predicts Novin Ahvaz 1–0 Ario Eslamshahr. Total goals projected: 2.1.
When is Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr?
Novin Ahvaz vs Ario Eslamshahr (Azadegan League) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 14:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
