SVTips by Ade Ola · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Over 1.5
Strong · fair odds 1.32
76%chance1.25odds8/10rating
Why we like it: With a combined 2.7 expected goals (Newcastle 0.8, Arsenal 1.9), the numbers lean to goals. Our model puts this at 76%. At 1.25 there is little value on its own – better as a building block.
Tips by market
Result264% · @1.57
Double chanceX284% · @1.14
Both teams scoreGG56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.576% · @1.25
Correct scoreCS 0–212%
Newcastle vs Arsenal prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The Premier League brings Arsenal to Newcastle on Saturday 21 November – St. James' Park hosts, kick-off 18:30 WAT. Newcastle come in 12th with 12 points and Arsenal 1st with 27 – one in the bottom half, the other top of the pile. A 15-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.
Current form
Newcastle – last 5: DLLWL Latest result: they drew with Fulham 1–1 (away). A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Arsenal – last 5: WWWDW Latest result: they beat Hull City 1–0 (home). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 4. 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Form edge: Arsenal, with 2.3 points per game to 0.7.
Goals outlook
ScoreVoro expected goals: Newcastle 0.8 – 1.9 Arsenal, about 2.7 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 53%, GG 56%.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Newcastle 16%, draw 20%, Arsenal 64%.
Double chance option: Arsenal or draw – 84% at 1.14.
GG/NG: yes – 56% at 1.80.
ScoreVoro tip
ScoreVoro tip: Over 1.5 goals (76% chance, priced 1.25). Predicted score: Newcastle 0–2 Arsenal. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Newcastle16%fair 6.36 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.10
Arsenal64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
2.71Expected goals
0.80Newcastle xG
1.90Arsenal xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Newcastle 0.8 – 1.9 Arsenal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
2
64%
1.56
1.57
Double chance
X2
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
GG
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5
68%
1.46
1.44
Half-time result
HT 2
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
2/2
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
CS 0–2
12%
8.26
–
Recent results
Newcastle – last 6
DLLWLL
7 Nov
@ Fulham
1–1
D
2 Nov
vs Everton
0–1
L
29 Oct
@ Everton
1–3
L
25 Oct
@ Crystal Palace
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Aston Villa
0–1
L
12 Oct
@ Coventry
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Arsenal – last 6
WWWDWD
7 Nov
vs Hull City
1–0
W
4 Nov
@ Slavia Praha
2–1
W
1 Nov
@ Liverpool
1–0
W
27 Oct
@ Fleetwood Town
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Everton
2–0
W
21 Oct
@ Bayern München
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle and Arsenal.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (76% chance), priced at 1.25.
Who will win Newcastle vs Arsenal?
Newcastle win 16% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Arsenal 64%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle vs Arsenal?
Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 53% for over 2.5 and 56% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle vs Arsenal?
ScoreVoro predicts Newcastle 0–2 Arsenal. Total goals projected: 2.7.
When is Newcastle vs Arsenal?
Newcastle vs Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at St. James' Park.
Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
