England: Premier League· Stamford Bridge Kick-off

Chelsea vs Leeds prediction

ChelseaLWDLW
Sat 21 Nov 2026 xG 1.81 – 0.98
LeedsWLDDL
ScoreVoro predictionHome 1–0Medium
Best tip1X79% chance · @1.22
Goals2.8 expectedOver 2.5 54% · BTTS 58%
1 · Chelsea1.8058% chanceX · Draw3.6021% chance2 · Leeds4.1021% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

1X

Very strong · fair odds 1.26

79%chance1.22odds9/10rating

Why we like it: Backing Chelsea or the draw covers two of the three outcomes, and together they come to 79% on our numbers. The 1.22 on offer is close to fair for a 79% chance.

Tips by market

Result158% · @1.80
Double chance1X79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreGG58% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.577% · @1.22
Correct scoreCS 1–011%

Chelsea vs Leeds prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Chelsea v Leeds, Premier League – Saturday 21 November, 16:00 WAT at Stamford Bridge. Here is how the ScoreVoro model sees it. Table check: Chelsea are 5th with 16 points from 10 games (in the top half), Leeds 9th on 14 (in the top half). A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Chelsea – last 5: LWDLW Latest result: they fell to Sunderland 0–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

Leeds – last 5: WLDDL Latest result: they beat Tottenham 1–0 (home). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.5 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: Chelsea, with 1.7 points per game to 1.0.

Head to head

Previous meeting (9 Sep 2026): Chelsea 6–3 Leeds.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Chelsea 1.8 – 1.0 Leeds, about 2.8 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 54%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Chelsea 58%, draw 21%, Leeds 21%.
  • Double chance option: Chelsea or draw – 79% at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: yes – 58% at 1.67.

ScoreVoro tip

Our pick: Chelsea or draw (79% chance, priced 1.22). Predicted score: Chelsea 1–0 Leeds. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Chelsea58%fair 1.73 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.60
Leeds21%fair 4.79 · @4.10
2.79Expected goals
1.81Chelsea xG
0.98Leeds xG
58%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
3–06%

From our goals model: Chelsea 1.8 – 1.0 Leeds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result158%1.731.80
Double chance1X79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreGG58%1.721.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%1.861.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.568%1.481.44
Half-time resultHT 141%2.42–
Half-time / full-time1/135%2.82–
Correct scoreCS 1–011%8.95–

Recent results

Chelsea – last 6

LWDLWW
8 Nov@ Sunderland0–1L
31 Octvs Manchester United2–0W
28 Oct@ Liverpool1–1D
24 Octvs Tottenham0–2L
17 Oct@ Everton2–0W
10 Octvs Bournemouth5–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Leeds – last 6

WLDDLD
7 Novvs Tottenham1–0W
31 Oct@ Bournemouth0–2L
25 Oct@ Sunderland0–0D
18 Octvs Manchester United1–1D
10 Oct@ Arsenal1–2L
20 Sepvs Crystal Palace0–0D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

9 Sep 2026Chelsea v Leeds6–3
Chelsea vs Leeds head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Arsenal10901+1027
2Brighton10712+1922
3Manchester City10703+821
4Liverpool10532+418
5Chelsea10514+316
6Everton10442+216
7Bournemouth10433+215
8Brentford10352+514
9Leeds10352+214
10Aston Villa10343-313
11Tottenham10334-112
12Newcastle10334-312
13Hull City10253011
14Ipswich10325-511
15Fulham10244-210
16Nottingham Forest10235-49
17Coventry10307-99
18Manchester United10154-58
19Sunderland10226-98
20Crystal Palace10217-147

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chelsea vs Leeds?

Our tip is Chelsea or draw (79% chance), priced at 1.22.

Who will win Chelsea vs Leeds?

Chelsea win 58% of the time on our model, the draw 21%, Leeds 21%.

How many goals will there be in Chelsea vs Leeds?

Around 2.8 goals on our projection – 54% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Chelsea vs Leeds?

ScoreVoro predicts Chelsea 1–0 Leeds. Total goals projected: 2.8.

When is Chelsea vs Leeds?

Chelsea vs Leeds (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stamford Bridge.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.