France: Ligue 1· Stade Pierre-Mauroy Kick-off

Lille vs Lyon prediction

LilleWDWDL
Sat 21 Nov 2026 xG 1.28 – 1.16
LyonLDWLL
ScoreVoro predictionHome 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 3.575% chance · @1.30
Goals2.4 expectedOver 2.5 46% · BTTS 58%
1 · Lille2.3042% chanceX · Draw3.2522% chance2 · Lyon3.0036% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:31 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Under 3.5

Strong · fair odds 1.33

75%chance1.30odds8/10rating

Why we like it: Goals are likely, but a combined 2.4 expected still sits comfortably below 3.5. We land on 75% for the under. Lille come off a win, while Lyon were beaten in their last game. At 1.30 the market agrees with us, so this is a solid rather than spectacular price.

Value

2 @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% in the price (edge +9%)

Tips by market

Result142% · @2.30
Double chance1278% · @1.33
Both teams scoreGG58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.575% · @1.30
Correct scoreCS 1–011%

Lille vs Lyon prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Ligue 1 brings Lyon to Lille on Saturday 21 November – Stade Pierre-Mauroy hosts, kick-off 20:45 WAT. Lille come in 2nd with 21 points and Lyon 5th with 17 – one in the top four, the other in the top half.

Current form

Lille – last 5: WDWDL Latest result: they beat Rennes 2–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.

Lyon – last 5: LDWLL Latest result: they fell to Stade Brestois 29 0–2 (away). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 4. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Lille 1.3 – 1.2 Lyon, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 46%, GG 58%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Lille 42%, draw 22%, Lyon 36%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 58% at 1.80.
  • Value angle: Lyon to win at 3.00 – our chance 36%, the price implies 33%.

ScoreVoro tip

ScoreVoro tip: Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.30). Predicted score: Lille 1–0 Lyon. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Lille42%fair 2.37 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Lyon36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
2.44Expected goals
1.28Lille xG
1.16Lyon xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%

From our goals model: Lille 1.3 – 1.2 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result142%2.372.30
Double chance1278%1.281.33
Both teams to scoreGG58%1.721.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.571%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.554%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.575%1.331.30
Half-time resultHT X45%2.24–
Half-time / full-time1/123%4.43–
Correct scoreCS 1–011%8.96–

Recent results

Lille – last 6

WDWDLD
8 Nov@ Rennes2–1W
3 Nov@ BodoGlimt0–0D
30 Octvs Lens1–0W
25 Oct@ Monaco1–1D
21 Octvs Galatasaray2–4L
17 Octvs Stade Brestois 291–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lyon – last 6

LDWLLW
8 Nov@ Stade Brestois 290–2L
5 Nov@ Real Sociedad1–1D
31 Octvs Angers2–0W
26 Oct@ Paris Saint Germain0–2L
22 Oct@ 1899 Hoffenheim0–3L
18 Octvs Nice2–1W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Lille and Lyon.

Lille vs Lyon head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

More Ligue 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lille vs Lyon?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (75% chance), priced at 1.30.

Who will win Lille vs Lyon?

Lille win 42% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Lyon 36%.

How many goals will there be in Lille vs Lyon?

Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 46% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lyon?

ScoreVoro predicts Lille 1–0 Lyon. Total goals projected: 2.4.

When is Lille vs Lyon?

Lille vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.