SVTips by Ade Ola · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:31 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Under 3.5
Strong · fair odds 1.33
75%chance1.30odds8/10rating
Why we like it: Goals are likely, but a combined 2.4 expected still sits comfortably below 3.5. We land on 75% for the under. Lille come off a win, while Lyon were beaten in their last game. At 1.30 the market agrees with us, so this is a solid rather than spectacular price.
Value
2 @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% in the price (edge +9%)
Tips by market
Result142% · @2.30
Double chance1278% · @1.33
Both teams scoreGG58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.575% · @1.30
Correct scoreCS 1–011%
Lille vs Lyon prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The Ligue 1 brings Lyon to Lille on Saturday 21 November – Stade Pierre-Mauroy hosts, kick-off 20:45 WAT. Lille come in 2nd with 21 points and Lyon 5th with 17 – one in the top four, the other in the top half.
Current form
Lille – last 5: WDWDL Latest result: they beat Rennes 2–1 (away). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Lyon – last 5: LDWLL Latest result: they fell to Stade Brestois 29 0–2 (away). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 4. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Goals outlook
ScoreVoro expected goals: Lille 1.3 – 1.2 Lyon, about 2.4 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 46%, GG 58%.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Lille 42%, draw 22%, Lyon 36%.
GG/NG: yes – 58% at 1.80.
Value angle: Lyon to win at 3.00 – our chance 36%, the price implies 33%.
ScoreVoro tip
ScoreVoro tip: Under 3.5 goals (75% chance, priced 1.30). Predicted score: Lille 1–0 Lyon. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Lille42%fair 2.37 · @2.30
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.25
Lyon36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
2.44Expected goals
1.28Lille xG
1.16Lyon xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Lille 1.3 – 1.2 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1
42%
2.37
2.30
Double chance
12
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
GG
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5
54%
1.84
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5
75%
1.33
1.30
Half-time result
HT X
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
1/1
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
CS 1–0
11%
8.96
–
Recent results
Lille – last 6
WDWDLD
8 Nov
@ Rennes
2–1
W
3 Nov
@ BodoGlimt
0–0
D
30 Oct
vs Lens
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Monaco
1–1
D
21 Oct
vs Galatasaray
2–4
L
17 Oct
vs Stade Brestois 29
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
LDWLLW
8 Nov
@ Stade Brestois 29
0–2
L
5 Nov
@ Real Sociedad
1–1
D
31 Oct
vs Angers
2–0
W
26 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–2
L
22 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Nice
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lille and Lyon.
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (75% chance), priced at 1.30.
Who will win Lille vs Lyon?
Lille win 42% of the time on our model, the draw 22%, Lyon 36%.
How many goals will there be in Lille vs Lyon?
Around 2.4 goals on our projection – 46% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Lille vs Lyon?
ScoreVoro predicts Lille 1–0 Lyon. Total goals projected: 2.4.
When is Lille vs Lyon?
Lille vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Pierre-Mauroy.
Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.