Lens vs Toulouse prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Lens v Toulouse, Ligue 1 – Saturday 21 November, 20:45 WAT at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Here is how the ScoreVoro model sees it. Lens come in 11th with 13 points and Toulouse 12th with 13 – one in the bottom half, the other in the bottom half. Level on points – three points here could swing the table.
Current form
Lens – last 5: LLLWL Latest result: they fell to Marseille 1–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. 1.2 scored and 2.8 conceded per game.
Toulouse – last 5: WLDWD Latest result: they beat Strasbourg 3–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Form edge: Toulouse, with 1.8 points per game to 1.0.
Head to head
Previous meeting (21 Apr 2026): Lens 4–1 Toulouse. Head-to-head over 2 games: Lens 2, Toulouse 0, draws 0 – 5.0 goals per game, GG in 2.
Goals outlook
ScoreVoro expected goals: Lens 2.0 – 1.0 Toulouse, about 3.0 in total. An open game is on the cards – 57% for 3+ goals and 61% for both teams scoring. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.
Markets to consider
- 1X2 chances: Lens 58%, draw 25%, Toulouse 17%.
- Double chance option: Lens or draw – 83% at 1.25.
- GG/NG: yes – 61% at 1.62.
- Value angle: Lens to win at 1.85 – our chance 58%, the price implies 54%.
ScoreVoro tip
ScoreVoro tip: Lens or draw (83% chance, priced 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Lens 2–1 Toulouse. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
