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Africa: Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification Kick-off

Ethiopia vs Mozambique prediction

EthiopiaWLLDW
Tue 17 Nov 2026 xG 1.09 – 1.09
MozambiqueLWDL
ScoreVoro predictionAway 1–2Small
Best tipOver 1.563% chance · @1.50
Goals2.2 expectedOver 2.5 37% · BTTS 54%
1 · Ethiopia2.7538% chanceX · Draw2.9023% chance2 · Mozambique2.5539% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 16 Nov 2026, 00:26 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5

Good · fair odds 1.58

63%chance1.50odds6/10rating

Why we like it: With a combined 2.2 expected goals (Ethiopia 1.1, Mozambique 1.1), the numbers lean to goals. Our model puts this at 63%. The price is short at 1.50, so this works best as part of a double or acca.

Value

GG @ 2.10 – our chance 54% vs 48% in the price (edge +13%)

Tips by market

Result239% · @2.55
Double chance1277% · @1.30
Both teams scoreGG54% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.581% · @1.17
Correct scoreCS 1–27%

Ethiopia vs Mozambique prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification brings Mozambique to Ethiopia on Tuesday 17 November, kick-off 14:00 WAT. Table check: Ethiopia are 4th with 4 points from 6 games, Mozambique 2nd on 11.

Current form

Ethiopia – last 5: WLLDW Latest result: they beat Mozambique 1–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 4. A thin 0.7 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Mozambique – last 4: LWDL Latest result: they fell to Ethiopia 0–1 (home). 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.

Form edge: Ethiopia, with 1.7 points per game to 1.0.

Head to head

Previous meeting (13 Nov 2026): Mozambique 0–1 Ethiopia.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Ethiopia 1.1 – 1.1 Mozambique, about 2.2 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 63%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Ethiopia 38%, draw 23%, Mozambique 39%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 54% at 2.10.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – our chance 54%, the price implies 48%.

ScoreVoro tip

ScoreVoro tip: Over 1.5 goals (63% chance, priced 1.50). Predicted score: Ethiopia 1–2 Mozambique. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Ethiopia38%fair 2.61 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @2.90
Mozambique39%fair 2.60 · @2.55
2.18Expected goals
1.09Ethiopia xG
1.09Mozambique xG
54%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Ethiopia 1.1 – 1.1 Mozambique expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result239%2.602.55
Double chance1277%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreGG54%1.862.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.563%1.581.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.563%1.601.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.581%1.241.17
Half-time resultHT X48%2.10–
Half-time / full-time2/220%5.03–
Correct scoreCS 1–27%13.62–

Recent results

Ethiopia – last 6

WLLDWW
13 Nov@ Mozambique1–0W
29 Sepvs Senegal0–1L
25 Sep@ Sudan0–1L
9 Junvs Malawi1–1D
6 Junvs Malawi1–0W
31 Marvs Sao Tome and Principe1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Mozambique – last 4

LWDL
13 Novvs Ethiopia0–1L
29 Sepvs Sudan4–1W
25 Sepvs Senegal1–1D
9 Jun@ Indonesia0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Nov 2026Mozambique v Ethiopia0–1
Ethiopia vs Mozambique head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Congo DR6402+412
2Tanzania6312+110
3Guinea6303+49
4Ethiopia6114-94

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
BurundiZambia Over 1.5 1.62 64%
LesothoGabon 2 1.44 67%
MalawiEgypt Over 1.5 1.22 78%
South SudanAngola Over 1.5 1.32 71%
TanzaniaNigeria Under 3.5 1.20 76%
GambiaIvory Coast Over 1.5 1.30 73%
KenyaSouth Africa Over 1.5 1.46 67%
LibyaTunisia 2 1.79 60%

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ethiopia vs Mozambique?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (63% chance), priced at 1.50.

Who will win Ethiopia vs Mozambique?

Ethiopia win 38% of the time on our model, the draw 23%, Mozambique 39%.

How many goals will there be in Ethiopia vs Mozambique?

Around 2.2 goals on our projection – 37% for over 2.5 and 54% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Ethiopia vs Mozambique?

ScoreVoro predicts Ethiopia 1–2 Mozambique. Total goals projected: 2.2.

When is Ethiopia vs Mozambique?

Ethiopia vs Mozambique (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 17 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.