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Africa: Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification· Stade du 26 Mars Full time

Mali vs Rwanda prediction

MaliWWD
3–2
FT xG 1.93 – 0.74
RwandaWWWW
ScoreVoro prediction · correct ✓Home 1–0Large
Best tipUnder 3.574% chance · @1.20
Goals2.7 expectedOver 2.5 47% · BTTS 48%
1 · Mali1.2967% chanceX · Draw4.7019% chance2 · Rwanda11.0015% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 16 Nov 2026, 00:53 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗

Under 3.5

Strong · fair odds 1.36

74%chance1.20odds8/10rating

Why we like it: We expect about 2.7 goals (Mali 1.9, Rwanda 0.7), which stays clearly under the 3.5 line. That makes it a 74% chance by our model. The price is short at 1.20, so this works best as part of a double or acca.

Tips by market

Result1 ✓67% · @1.29
Double chance1X ✓85% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNG ✗52% · @1.41
GoalsUnder 3.5 ✗74% · @1.20
Correct scoreCS 1–0 ✗13%

Mali vs Rwanda prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Mali v Rwanda, Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification – Friday 13 November, 20:00 WAT at Stade du 26 Mars. Here is how the ScoreVoro model sees it. Table check: Mali are 1st with 14 points from 6 games, Rwanda 3rd on 8.

Current form

Mali – last 3: WWD Latest result: they beat Liberia 1–0 (away). 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded per game. 2 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Rwanda – last 4: WWWW Latest result: they beat Cape Verde Islands 2–1 (away). 2.8 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now. 2 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: Rwanda, with 3.0 points per game to 2.3.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Mali 1.9 – 0.7 Rwanda, about 2.7 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 47%, GG 48%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Mali 67%, draw 19%, Rwanda 15%.
  • GG/NG: no – 52% at 1.41.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals (74% chance, priced 1.20). Predicted score: Mali 1–0 Rwanda. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Mali67%fair 1.50 · @1.29
Draw19%fair 5.38 · @4.70
Rwanda15%fair 6.78 · @11.00
2.68Expected goals
1.93Mali xG
0.74Rwanda xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Mali 1.9 – 0.7 Rwanda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result1 ✓67%1.501.29
Double chance1X ✓85%1.171.01
Both teams to scoreNG ✗52%1.911.41
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 ✓72%1.401.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 ✗53%1.901.68
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 ✗74%1.361.20
Half-time resultHT 1 ✗46%2.15–
Half-time / full-time1/1 ✗42%2.39–
Correct scoreCS 1–0 ✗13%7.51–

Recent results

Mali – last 3

WWD
29 Sep@ Liberia1–0W
25 Sepvs Cape Verde Islands3–1W
31 Mar@ Russia0–0D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Rwanda – last 4

WWWW
29 Sep@ Cape Verde Islands2–1W
25 Sepvs Liberia3–1W
30 Marvs Estonia2–0W
27 Marvs Grenada4–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Mali and Rwanda.

Mali vs Rwanda head-to-head page →

Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nigeria6321+611
2Benin622208
3Rwanda6222-28
4Libya6123-45

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

League hub
FT Comoros0Congo0 Over 1.5 1.48 63%
FT Mozambique0Ethiopia1 Over 1.5 1.35 67%
FT Zambia1Burundi1 Over 1.5 1.39 70%
FT Burkina Faso1Mauritania0 Over 1.5 1.42 67%
FT Cape Verde Islands4Liberia2 Over 1.5 1.25 74%
FT Gabon2Lesotho0 Under 3.5 1.29 74%
FT Nigeria3Tanzania1 Under 3.5 1.37 68%
FT South Africa2Kenya2 Over 1.5 1.29 72%

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mali vs Rwanda?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (74% chance), priced at 1.20.

Who will win Mali vs Rwanda?

Mali win 67% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Rwanda 15%.

How many goals will there be in Mali vs Rwanda?

Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 47% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Mali vs Rwanda?

ScoreVoro predicts Mali 1–0 Rwanda. Total goals projected: 2.7.

When is Mali vs Rwanda?

Mali vs Rwanda (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 26 Mars.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.