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Australia: A League· Go Media Stadium Kick-off

Auckland vs Melbourne Victory prediction

AucklandDDLWL
Sat 21 Nov 2026 xG 1.54 – 1.35
Melbourne VictoryDLDLD
ScoreVoro predictionHome 2–1Small
Best tipOver 1.577% chance · @1.25
Goals2.9 expectedOver 2.5 54% · BTTS 59%
1 · Auckland2.4044% chanceX · Draw3.5020% chance2 · Melbourne Victory2.7035% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 1.5

Strong · fair odds 1.30

77%chance1.25odds8/10rating

Why we like it: Both sides together project to 2.9 goals, comfortably over 1.5. Our model puts this at 77%. At 1.25 there is little value on its own – better as a building block.

Value

1 @ 2.40 – our chance 44% vs 42% in the price (edge +6%)

Tips by market

Result144% · @2.40
Double chance1280% · @1.28
Both teams scoreGG59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.577% · @1.25
Correct scoreCS 2–19%

Auckland vs Melbourne Victory prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The A League brings Melbourne Victory to Auckland on Saturday 21 November – Go Media Stadium hosts, kick-off 05:00 WAT. Auckland come in 8th with 5 points and Melbourne Victory 9th with 3 – one in the bottom half, the other in the bottom half. A gap of just 2 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Auckland – last 5: DDLWL Latest result: they drew with Wellington Phoenix 0–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.

Melbourne Victory – last 5: DLDLD Latest result: they drew with Adelaide United 2–2 (away). Away form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

Previous meeting (11 Apr 2026): Auckland 2–2 Melbourne Victory.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Auckland 1.5 – 1.3 Melbourne Victory, about 2.9 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 54%, GG 59%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Auckland 44%, draw 20%, Melbourne Victory 35%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 59% at 1.67.
  • Value angle: Auckland to win at 2.40 – our chance 44%, the price implies 42%.

ScoreVoro tip

Our pick: Over 1.5 goals (77% chance, priced 1.25). Predicted score: Auckland 2–1 Melbourne Victory. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Auckland44%fair 2.26 · @2.40
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
Melbourne Victory35%fair 2.82 · @2.70
2.89Expected goals
1.54Auckland xG
1.35Melbourne Victory xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Auckland 1.5 – 1.3 Melbourne Victory expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result144%2.262.40 ▲
Double chance1280%1.251.28
Both teams to scoreGG59%1.711.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%1.841.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.567%1.501.40
Half-time resultHT X41%2.47–
Half-time / full-time1/125%4.01–
Correct scoreCS 2–19%11.22–

Recent results

Auckland – last 6

DDLWLL
7 Novvs Wellington Phoenix0–0D
30 Oct@ Brisbane Roar1–1D
24 Oct@ Western Sydney Wanderers2–5L
17 Octvs Melbourne City3–1W
19 Sepvs Western Sydney Wanderers1–3L
26 Aug@ Al-Ahli Jeddah0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Melbourne Victory – last 6

DLDLDL
8 Nov@ Adelaide United2–2D
4 Novvs Persib Bandung1–2L
1 Novvs Central Coast Mariners1–1D
28 Oct@ Persib Bandung0–2L
24 Octvs Melbourne City1–1D
18 Oct@ Wellington Phoenix1–2L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Auckland v Melbourne Victory2–2
Auckland vs Melbourne Victory head-to-head page →

A League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Wellington Phoenix4310+610
2Sydney4211+37
3Brisbane Roar3210+27
4Melbourne City421107
5Perth Glory4202+36
6Western Sydney Wanderers4121+25
7Macarthur412105
8Auckland4121-15
9Melbourne Victory4031-13
10Newcastle Jets4022-42
11Central Coast Mariners4022-52
12Adelaide United3012-51

More A League predictions

League hub
Central Coast MarinersPerth Glory GG 1.50 63%
Brisbane RoarSydney Over 1.5 1.25 75%

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Auckland vs Melbourne Victory?

Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (77% chance), priced at 1.25.

Who will win Auckland vs Melbourne Victory?

Auckland win 44% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, Melbourne Victory 35%.

How many goals will there be in Auckland vs Melbourne Victory?

Around 2.9 goals on our projection – 54% for over 2.5 and 59% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Auckland vs Melbourne Victory?

ScoreVoro predicts Auckland 2–1 Melbourne Victory. Total goals projected: 2.9.

When is Auckland vs Melbourne Victory?

Auckland vs Melbourne Victory (A League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at Go Media Stadium.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.