SVTips by Ade Ola · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:33 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
1X
Very strong · fair odds 1.20
83%chance1.25odds10/10rating
Why we like it: Taking the draw as cover with Rayo Vallecano lifts our chance to 83%. Rayo Vallecano lost last time out, while Valencia won last time out. At 1.25 the price is bigger than our fair odds of 1.20, so there is value here.
Value
1 @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% in the price (edge +11%)
Tips by market
Result158% · @1.91
Double chance1X83% · @1.25
Both teams scoreGG50% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.573% · @1.33
Correct scoreCS 1–013%
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Rayo Vallecano v Valencia, La Liga – Saturday 21 November, 16:15 WAT at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas. Here is how the ScoreVoro model sees it. Table check: Rayo Vallecano are 14th with 12 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), Valencia 19th on 9 (in the relegation places). A gap of just 3 points – three points here could swing the table.
Current form
Rayo Vallecano – last 5: LWDLD Latest result: they fell to Real Sociedad 0–1 (away). 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Valencia – last 5: WLWLD Latest result: they beat Tavernes 6–0 (away). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.
Head to head
Previous meeting (14 May 2026): Valencia 1–1 Rayo Vallecano.
Goals outlook
ScoreVoro expected goals: Rayo Vallecano 1.8 – 0.9 Valencia, about 2.7 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 48%, GG 50%.
Double chance option: Rayo Vallecano or draw – 83% at 1.25.
GG/NG: yes – 50% at 1.91.
Value angle: Rayo Vallecano to win at 1.91 – our chance 58%, the price implies 52%.
ScoreVoro tip
Our pick: Rayo Vallecano or draw (83% chance, priced 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.20, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Valencia. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Rayo Vallecano58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @3.40
Valencia17%fair 5.99 · @3.90
2.65Expected goals
1.79Rayo Vallecano xG
0.86Valencia xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Rayo Vallecano 1.8 – 0.9 Valencia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Our tip is Rayo Vallecano or draw (83% chance), priced at 1.25.
Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Rayo Vallecano win 58% of the time on our model, the draw 25%, Valencia 17%.
How many goals will there be in Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Around 2.7 goals on our projection – 48% for over 2.5 and 50% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
ScoreVoro predicts Rayo Vallecano 1–0 Valencia. Total goals projected: 2.7.
When is Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia?
Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia (La Liga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Campo de Futbol de Vallecas.
Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
