Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction
ScoreVoro prediction · missedHome 2–1Small
Best tipUnder 3.561% chance · @1.67
Goals3.0 expectedOver 2.5 60% · BTTS 64%
1 · Manchester United2.1044% chanceX · Draw3.9019% chance2 · Aston Villa3.1037% chance
SVTips by Ade Ola · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:40 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗Under 3.5
Good · fair odds 1.64
61%chance1.67odds5/10rating
Why we like it: Goals are likely, but a combined 3.0 expected still sits clearly below 3.5. Our model puts this at 61%. Manchester United's recent form is mixed (1 W, 1 D, 2 L), while Aston Villa's recent form is mixed (0 W, 2 D, 2 L). At 1.67 the market agrees with us, so this is a solid rather than spectacular price.
Value2 @ 3.10 – our chance 37% vs 32% in the price (edge +16%)
Tips by market
Result1 ✗44% · @2.10
Double chance12 ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreGG ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCS 2–1 ✗9%
Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Manchester United v Aston Villa, Premier League – Sunday 8 November, 17:30 WAT at Old Trafford. Here is how the ScoreVoro model sees it. Manchester United come in 18th with 8 points and Aston Villa 10th with 13 – one in the relegation places, the other in the top half.
Current form
Manchester United – last 5: WLLLD Latest result: they beat AS Roma 3–2 (home). A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Aston Villa – last 5: LDLWW Latest result: they fell to Barcelona 0–3 (away). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Form edge: Aston Villa, with 1.7 points per game to 0.7.
Head to head
Previous meeting (15 Mar 2026): Manchester United 3–1 Aston Villa.
Goals outlook
ScoreVoro expected goals: Manchester United 1.6 – 1.4 Aston Villa, about 3.0 in total. An open game is on the cards – 60% for 3+ goals and 64% for both teams scoring.
Markets to consider
- 1X2 chances: Manchester United 44%, draw 19%, Aston Villa 37%.
- GG/NG: yes – 64% at 1.44.
- Value angle: Aston Villa to win at 3.10 – our chance 37%, the price implies 32%.
Our tip
Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals (61% chance, priced 1.67). Predicted score: Manchester United 2–1 Aston Villa. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Manchester United44%fair 2.29 · @2.10
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @3.90
Aston Villa37%fair 2.67 · @3.10
2.99Expected goals
1.57Manchester United xG
1.42Aston Villa xG
64%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Manchester United 1.6 – 1.4 Aston Villa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|
| Match result | 1 ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | 12 ✗ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | GG ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | HT X ✓ | 40% | 2.52 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | 1/1 ✗ | 24% | 4.11 | – |
| Correct score | CS 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.39 | – |
Recent results
Manchester United – last 6
WLLLDL
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aston Villa – last 6
LDLWWW
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
Manchester United vs Aston Villa head-to-head page →
Premier League table
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (61% chance), priced at 1.67.
Who will win Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Manchester United win 44% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Aston Villa 37%.
How many goals will there be in Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 60% for over 2.5 and 64% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
ScoreVoro predicts Manchester United 2–1 Aston Villa. Total goals projected: 3.0.
When is Manchester United vs Aston Villa?
Manchester United vs Aston Villa (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Old Trafford.
Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
