Netherlands: Eredivisie· Euroborg Kick-off

Groningen vs Heerenveen prediction

Sat 21 Nov 2026 xG 1.88 – 1.82
ScoreVoro predictionHome 2–1Small
Best tipOver 2.569% chance · @1.40
Goals3.7 expectedOver 2.5 69% · BTTS 68%
1 · Groningen2.1542% chanceX · Draw3.8019% chance2 · Heerenveen2.9039% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:48 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip

Over 2.5

Strong · fair odds 1.44

69%chance1.40odds7/10rating

Why we like it: With a combined 3.7 expected goals (Groningen 1.9, Heerenveen 1.8), the numbers lean to goals. We land on 69% for the over. At 1.40 the market agrees with us, so this is a solid rather than spectacular price.

Value

2 @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% in the price (edge +14%)

Tips by market

Result142% · @2.15
Double chance1281% · @1.25
Both teams scoreGG68% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.569% · @1.40
Correct scoreCS 2–18%

Groningen vs Heerenveen prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The Eredivisie brings Heerenveen to Groningen on Saturday 21 November – Euroborg hosts, kick-off 21:00 WAT. Groningen come in 9th with 15 points and Heerenveen 6th with 21 – one in the top half, the other in the top half.

Current form

Groningen – last 5: LLLDL Latest result: they fell to AZ Alkmaar 3–4 (away). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 3 defeats in 3. 2.3 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.

Heerenveen – last 5: WWWWW Latest result: they beat Feyenoord 5–3 (home). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 1 defeat in 3. 2.5 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Form edge: Heerenveen, with 2.5 points per game to 0.7.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Groningen 1.9 – 1.8 Heerenveen, about 3.7 in total. An open game is on the cards – 69% for 3+ goals and 68% for both teams scoring. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Groningen 42%, draw 19%, Heerenveen 39%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 68% at 1.40.
  • Value angle: Heerenveen to win at 2.90 – our chance 39%, the price implies 34%.

ScoreVoro tip

Our pick: Over 2.5 goals (69% chance, priced 1.40). Predicted score: Groningen 2–1 Heerenveen. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Groningen42%fair 2.39 · @2.15
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.80
Heerenveen39%fair 2.54 · @2.90
3.70Expected goals
1.88Groningen xG
1.82Heerenveen xG
68%Both score
69%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Groningen 1.9 – 1.8 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result142%2.392.15
Double chance1281%1.231.25
Both teams to scoreGG68%1.471.40
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.587%1.151.11
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.569%1.441.40
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.552%1.941.73
Half-time resultHT X35%2.86–
Half-time / full-time1/125%4.07–
Correct scoreCS 2–18%12.56–

Recent results

Groningen – last 6

LLLDLW
8 Nov@ AZ Alkmaar3–4L
1 Novvs Sparta Rotterdam2–3L
29 Octvs Emmen0–2L
25 Oct@ NEC Nijmegen2–2D
18 Octvs Ajax2–5L
11 Oct@ Excelsior5–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Heerenveen – last 6

WWWWWL
8 Novvs Feyenoord5–3W
31 Octvs NEC Nijmegen1–0W
28 Oct@ Excelsior Maassluis2–0W
24 Oct@ ADO Den Haag3–2W
16 Octvs Excelsior4–0W
9 Oct@ PSV Eindhoven0–2L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Groningen and Heerenveen.

Groningen vs Heerenveen head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Groningen vs Heerenveen?

Our tip is Over 2.5 goals (69% chance), priced at 1.40.

Who will win Groningen vs Heerenveen?

Groningen win 42% of the time on our model, the draw 19%, Heerenveen 39%.

How many goals will there be in Groningen vs Heerenveen?

Around 3.7 goals on our projection – 69% for over 2.5 and 68% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Heerenveen?

ScoreVoro predicts Groningen 2–1 Heerenveen. Total goals projected: 3.7.

When is Groningen vs Heerenveen?

Groningen vs Heerenveen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Euroborg.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.