SVTips by Ade Ola · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:31 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip
Over 1.5
Very strong · fair odds 1.25
80%chance1.20odds9/10rating
Why we like it: With a combined 3.0 expected goals (Parma 0.9, AS Roma 2.1), the numbers lean to goals. That makes it a 80% chance by our model. Parma lost last time out, while AS Roma have won three of their last four. The price is short at 1.20, so this works best as part of a double or acca.
Value
GG @ 2.00 – our chance 58% vs 50% in the price (edge +16%)
Tips by market
Result267% · @1.25
Double chance1284% · @1.17
Both teams scoreGG58% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.580% · @1.20
Correct scoreCS 0–211%
Parma vs AS Roma prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
The Serie A brings AS Roma to Parma on Saturday 21 November – Stadio Ennio Tardini hosts, kick-off 18:00 WAT. Table check: Parma are 16th with 8 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), AS Roma 3rd on 27 (in the top four). A 19-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.
Current form
Parma – last 5: LWDLL Latest result: they fell to Bologna 1–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 0 wins, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
AS Roma – last 5: WLWWD Latest result: they beat Sassuolo 3–0 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 1 defeat in 3. 3.5 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.
Form edge: AS Roma, with 2.2 points per game to 0.7.
Goals outlook
ScoreVoro expected goals: Parma 0.9 – 2.1 AS Roma, about 3.0 in total. Goals look likely: over 2.5 at 59%, GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.
Markets to consider
1X2 chances: Parma 18%, draw 16%, AS Roma 67%.
GG/NG: yes – 58% at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – our chance 58%, the price implies 50%.
ScoreVoro tip
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals (80% chance, priced 1.20). Predicted score: Parma 0–2 AS Roma. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Parma18%fair 5.67 · @10.00
Draw16%fair 6.31 · @5.25
AS Roma67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
3.05Expected goals
0.93Parma xG
2.11AS Roma xG
58%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–110%
1–210%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Parma 0.9 – 2.1 AS Roma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
2
67%
1.50
1.25
Double chance
12
84%
1.19
1.17
Both teams to score
GG
58%
1.72
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5
63%
1.59
1.53
Half-time result
HT 2
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
2/2
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
CS 0–2
11%
9.42
–
Recent results
Parma – last 6
LWDLLL
7 Nov
vs Bologna
1–2
L
2 Nov
@ Atalanta
3–0
W
28 Oct
vs Udinese
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Lazio
1–2
L
19 Oct
vs Torino
0–3
L
10 Oct
@ Inter
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AS Roma – last 6
WLWWDW
7 Nov
vs Sassuolo
3–0
W
3 Nov
@ Manchester United
2–3
L
31 Oct
@ Udinese
5–2
W
27 Oct
vs Cagliari
4–2
W
24 Oct
@ Napoli
3–3
D
20 Oct
vs Slovan Bratislava
4–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Parma and AS Roma.
Our tip is Over 1.5 goals (80% chance), priced at 1.20.
Who will win Parma vs AS Roma?
Parma win 18% of the time on our model, the draw 16%, AS Roma 67%.
How many goals will there be in Parma vs AS Roma?
Around 3.0 goals on our projection – 59% for over 2.5 and 58% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Parma vs AS Roma?
ScoreVoro predicts Parma 0–2 AS Roma. Total goals projected: 3.0.
When is Parma vs AS Roma?
Parma vs AS Roma (Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 21 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ennio Tardini.
Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.