Universitario vs UCV Moquegua prediction
ScoreVoro prediction · missedHome 2–0Large
Best tipUnder 3.565% chance · @1.50
Goals2.8 expectedOver 2.5 56% · BTTS 52%
1 · Universitario1.2566% chanceX · Draw5.5020% chance2 · UCV Moquegua12.0015% chance
SVTips by Ade Ola · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:26 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗Under 3.5
Good · fair odds 1.53
65%chance1.50odds6/10rating
Why we like it: We expect about 2.8 goals (Universitario 2.0, UCV Moquegua 0.8), which stays clearly under the 3.5 line. Our model puts this at 65%. Universitario's recent form is mixed (2 W, 2 D, 0 L), while UCV Moquegua's recent form is mixed (0 W, 2 D, 2 L). The 1.50 on offer is close to fair for a 65% chance.
ValueGG @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% in the price (edge +10%)
Tips by market
Result1 ✗66% · @1.25
Double chance1X ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreGG ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCS 2–0 ✗12%
Universitario vs UCV Moquegua prediction, form & predicted score
The fixture
Universitario v UCV Moquegua, Primera División – Monday 9 November, 02:30 WAT at Estadio Monumental. Here is how the ScoreVoro model sees it. Table check: Universitario are 3rd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), UCV Moquegua 17th on 12 (in the relegation places). A 20-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.
Current form
Universitario – last 5: DWWWD Latest result: they drew with Sport Boys 2–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. 2.3 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.
UCV Moquegua – last 5: DLLWL Latest result: they drew with Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–0 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.2 goals per game – the goals have dried up.
Form edge: Universitario, with 1.8 points per game to 0.7.
Goals outlook
ScoreVoro expected goals: Universitario 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua, about 2.8 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 56%, GG 52%.
Markets to consider
- 1X2 chances: Universitario 66%, draw 20%, UCV Moquegua 15%.
- GG/NG: yes – 52% at 2.10.
- Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – our chance 52%, the price implies 48%.
Our tip
Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals (65% chance, priced 1.50). Predicted score: Universitario 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.
Result chances
Universitario66%fair 1.52 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @5.50
UCV Moquegua15%fair 6.88 · @12.00
2.84Expected goals
2.02Universitario xG
0.82UCV Moquegua xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Universitario 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
| Match result | 1 ✗ | 66% | 1.52 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | 1X ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | GG ✓ | 52% | 1.91 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 ✓ | 56% | 1.78 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.50 |
| Half-time result | HT 1 ✗ | 47% | 2.13 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | 1/1 ✗ | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Correct score | CS 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.35 | – |
Recent results
Universitario – last 6
DWWWDL
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
UCV Moquegua – last 6
DLLWLL
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universitario and UCV Moquegua.
Universitario vs UCV Moquegua head-to-head page →
Primera División table
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (65% chance), priced at 1.50.
Who will win Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Universitario win 66% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, UCV Moquegua 15%.
How many goals will there be in Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Around 2.8 goals on our projection – 56% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.
What is the predicted score for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
ScoreVoro predicts Universitario 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Total goals projected: 2.8.
When is Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?
Universitario vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.
Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.