Peru: Primera División· Estadio Monumental Full time

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua prediction

2–2
FT xG 2.02 – 0.82
ScoreVoro prediction · missedHome 2–0Large
Best tipUnder 3.565% chance · @1.50
Goals2.8 expectedOver 2.5 56% · BTTS 52%
1 · Universitario1.2566% chanceX · Draw5.5020% chance2 · UCV Moquegua12.0015% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:26 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗

Under 3.5

Good · fair odds 1.53

65%chance1.50odds6/10rating

Why we like it: We expect about 2.8 goals (Universitario 2.0, UCV Moquegua 0.8), which stays clearly under the 3.5 line. Our model puts this at 65%. Universitario's recent form is mixed (2 W, 2 D, 0 L), while UCV Moquegua's recent form is mixed (0 W, 2 D, 2 L). The 1.50 on offer is close to fair for a 65% chance.

Value

GG @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% in the price (edge +10%)

Tips by market

Result1 ✗66% · @1.25
Double chance1X ✓85% · @1.05
Both teams scoreGG ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCS 2–0 ✗12%

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Universitario v UCV Moquegua, Primera División – Monday 9 November, 02:30 WAT at Estadio Monumental. Here is how the ScoreVoro model sees it. Table check: Universitario are 3rd with 32 points from 16 games (in the top four), UCV Moquegua 17th on 12 (in the relegation places). A 20-point gap separates them – two very different seasons.

Current form

Universitario – last 5: DWWWD Latest result: they drew with Sport Boys 2–2 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. 2.3 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now.

UCV Moquegua – last 5: DLLWL Latest result: they drew with Club Deportivo Los Chankas 0–0 (home). Away form in that spell: 1 win, 2 defeats in 3. A thin 0.2 goals per game – the goals have dried up.

Form edge: Universitario, with 1.8 points per game to 0.7.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Universitario 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua, about 2.8 in total. Goals outlook is balanced: over 2.5 56%, GG 52%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Universitario 66%, draw 20%, UCV Moquegua 15%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 52% at 2.10.
  • Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – our chance 52%, the price implies 48%.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Under 3.5 goals (65% chance, priced 1.50). Predicted score: Universitario 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Universitario66%fair 1.52 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @5.50
UCV Moquegua15%fair 6.88 · @12.00
2.84Expected goals
2.02Universitario xG
0.82UCV Moquegua xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Universitario 2.0 – 0.8 UCV Moquegua expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result1 ✗66%1.521.25
Double chance1X ✓85%1.171.05
Both teams to scoreGG ✓52%1.912.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 ✓78%1.281.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 ✓56%1.781.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 ✗65%1.531.50
Half-time resultHT 1 ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-time1/1 ✗42%2.37–
Correct scoreCS 2–0 ✗12%8.35–

Recent results

Universitario – last 6

DWWWDL
5 Novvs Sport Boys2–2D
1 Nov@ Atletico Grau3–1W
25 Octvs Juan Pablo II College3–0W
18 Oct@ Alianza Atletico4–1W
11 Octvs FBC Melgar2–2D
20 Sep@ Deportivo Garcilaso0–4L
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

UCV Moquegua – last 6

DLLWLL
1 Novvs Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–0D
28 Oct@ ADT0–2L
25 Octvs Alianza Lima0–1L
18 Oct@ FC Cajamarca1–0W
8 Octvs Cienciano0–2L
20 Sep@ Juan Pablo II College0–4L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Universitario and UCV Moquegua.

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Alianza Lima332094+3069
2Universitario3317106+2061
3FBC Melgar331698+1857
4Deportivo Garcilaso3316710+1555
5Sporting Cristal3315612+1551
6Cusco3316314-151
7Cienciano3315513+850
8Sport Huancayo3315513-150
9Alianza Atletico3314712+149
10Club Deportivo Los Chankas3313911-1248
11Sport Boys33121011+242
12Juan Pablo II College3311814-1141
13Comerciantes Unidos3381312-337
14Atletico Grau3310716-937
15ADT3371115-1231
16UCV Moquegua337917-2130
17FC Cajamarca338718-1929
18UTC Cajamarca335919-2014

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Our tip is Under 3.5 goals (65% chance), priced at 1.50.

Who will win Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Universitario win 66% of the time on our model, the draw 20%, UCV Moquegua 15%.

How many goals will there be in Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Around 2.8 goals on our projection – 56% for over 2.5 and 52% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

ScoreVoro predicts Universitario 2–0 UCV Moquegua. Total goals projected: 2.8.

When is Universitario vs UCV Moquegua?

Universitario vs UCV Moquegua (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 9 November 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.