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Europe: UEFA Nations League· Riyadh Air Metropolitano Full time

Spain vs England prediction

SpainWWWWW
2–3
FT xG 2.36 – 1.25
EnglandWWWWL
ScoreVoro prediction · missedHome 2–1Large
Best tip165% chance · @2.04
Goals3.6 expectedOver 2.5 66% · BTTS 66%
1 · Spain2.0465% chanceX · Draw3.9813% chance2 · England3.4522% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 22:46 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Lost ✗

1

Good · fair odds 1.54

65%chance2.04odds6/10rating

Why we like it: Our model gives Spain a 65% chance of winning, built on an expected-goals edge of 2.4 to 1.3. Bookmakers offer 2.04 against our fair price of 1.54 – a genuine edge.

Tips by market

Result1 ✗65% · @2.04
Double chance12 ✓87% · @1.27
Both teams scoreGG ✓66% · @1.46
GoalsOver 1.5 ✓84% · @1.15
Correct scoreCS 2–1 ✗9%

Spain vs England prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

The UEFA Nations League brings England to Spain on Sunday 15 November – Riyadh Air Metropolitano hosts, kick-off 20:45 WAT. Spain come in 1st with 15 points and England 2nd with 12. A gap of just 3 points – three points here could swing the table.

Current form

Spain – last 5: WWWWW Latest result: they beat Czechia 2–0 (away). Home form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. They are scoring 2.3 per game, which defences will respect.

England – last 5: WWWWL Latest result: they beat Croatia 2–1 (home). Away form in that spell: 3 wins, 0 defeats in 3. 3.7 goals a game – a dangerous attack right now. 3 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (26 Sep 2026): England 2–3 Spain.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Spain 2.4 – 1.3 England, about 3.6 in total. An open game is on the cards – 66% for 3+ goals and 66% for both teams scoring. Both teams' recent matches have mostly gone over 2.5.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Spain 65%, draw 13%, England 22%.
  • GG/NG: yes – 66% at 1.46.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Spain to win (65% chance, priced 2.04 – longer than our fair 1.54, which makes it a value play). Predicted score: Spain 2–1 England. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Spain65%fair 1.54 · @2.04
Draw13%fair 7.75 · @3.98
England22%fair 4.53 · @3.45
3.62Expected goals
2.36Spain xG
1.25England xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%

From our goals model: Spain 2.4 – 1.3 England expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result1 ✗65%1.542.04 ▲
Double chance12 ✓87%1.151.27 ▲
Both teams to scoreGG ✓66%1.521.46
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 ✓84%1.191.15
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 ✓66%1.521.52
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 ✗55%1.821.65
Half-time resultHT 1 ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-time1/1 ✗41%2.47–
Correct scoreCS 2–1 ✗9%10.63–

Recent results

Spain – last 6

WWWWWD
12 Nov@ Czechia2–0W
6 Oct@ Croatia2–1W
3 Octvs Czechia3–1W
29 Sepvs Croatia4–1W
26 Sep@ England3–2W
19 Julvs Argentina0–0D
2.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

England – last 6

WWWWLW
12 Novvs Croatia2–1W
6 Octvs Czechia3–0W
3 Oct@ Croatia7–0W
29 Sep@ Czechia2–0W
26 Sepvs Spain2–3L
18 Jul@ France6–4W
3.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Sep 2026England v Spain2–3
Spain vs England head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain5500+915
2England5401+1212
3Croatia5104-113
4Czechia5005-100

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Cyprus1Montenegro4 Over 1.5 1.26 75%
FT Latvia0Armenia0 Under 3.5 1.22 79%
FT Belarus0Albania2 Over 1.5 1.45 65%
FT Finland7San Marino2 Over 2.5 1.20 76%
FT France2Türkiye1 1 1.20 74%
FT Belgium4Italy1 GG 1.48 65%
FT Croatia2Czech Republic1 Over 1.5 1.22 80%

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spain vs England?

Our tip is Spain to win (65% chance), priced at 2.04.

Who will win Spain vs England?

Spain win 65% of the time on our model, the draw 13%, England 22%.

How many goals will there be in Spain vs England?

Around 3.6 goals on our projection – 66% for over 2.5 and 66% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Spain vs England?

ScoreVoro predicts Spain 2–1 England. Total goals projected: 3.6.

When is Spain vs England?

Spain vs England (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.