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Europe: UEFA Nations League· Windsor Park Full time

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction

Northern IrelandDWDWL
1–0
FT xG 1.10 – 0.74
UkraineLLDWW
ScoreVoro prediction · correct ✓Home 1–0Small
Best tipUnder 2.568% chance · @1.48
Goals1.8 expectedOver 2.5 32% · BTTS 48%
1 · Northern Ireland2.5548% chanceX · Draw2.8824% chance2 · Ukraine3.2028% chance
Tips by · ScoreVoro analystUpdated 15 Nov 2026, 23:22 WAT · Every tip graded on our track record
Our tip · Won ✓

Under 2.5

Good · fair odds 1.47

68%chance1.48odds7/10rating

Why we like it: A combined 1.8 expected goals points to a tight game, clearly under 2.5. Our model puts this at 68%. At 1.48 the market agrees with us, so this is a solid rather than spectacular price.

Value

1 @ 2.55 – our chance 48% vs 39% in the price (edge +22%)

Tips by market

Result1 ✓48% · @2.55
Double chance12 ✓76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNG ✓52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 ✓85% · @1.17
Correct scoreCS 1–0 ✓18%

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine prediction, form & predicted score

The fixture

Fixture: Northern Ireland vs Ukraine. Competition: UEFA Nations League. Kick-off: Saturday 14 November, 20:45 WAT. Ground: Windsor Park. Northern Ireland come in 1st with 11 points and Ukraine 3rd with 4.

Current form

Northern Ireland – last 5: DWDWL Latest result: they drew with Georgia 0–0 (home). Home form in that spell: 1 win, 0 defeats in 3. 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per game. 5 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Ukraine – last 5: LLDWW Latest result: they fell to Hungary 1–2 (home). Away form in that spell: 2 wins, 0 defeats in 3. A thin 0.8 goals per game – the goals have dried up. 4 clean sheets – a defence that is tough to crack.

Head to head

Previous meeting (2 Oct 2026): Ukraine 0–3 Northern Ireland.

Goals outlook

ScoreVoro expected goals: Northern Ireland 1.1 – 0.7 Ukraine, about 1.8 in total. This shapes up as a tight one – under 2.5 at 68%.

Markets to consider

  • 1X2 chances: Northern Ireland 48%, draw 24%, Ukraine 28%.
  • GG/NG: no – 52% at 1.67.
  • Value angle: Northern Ireland to win at 2.55 – our chance 48%, the price implies 39%.

Our tip

Our pre-match tip was Under 2.5 goals (68% chance, priced 1.48). Predicted score: Northern Ireland 1–0 Ukraine. Graded on the 90-minute score. A tip is a probability, not a promise – 18+, bet responsibly.

Result chances

Northern Ireland48%fair 2.10 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.88
Ukraine28%fair 3.58 · @3.20
1.84Expected goals
1.10Northern Ireland xG
0.74Ukraine xG
48%Both score
32%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%

From our goals model: Northern Ireland 1.1 – 0.7 Ukraine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match result1 ✓48%2.102.55 ▲
Double chance12 ✓76%1.321.36
Both teams to scoreNG ✓52%1.941.67
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 ✗59%1.701.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 ✓68%1.471.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 ✓85%1.181.17
Half-time resultHT X ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-time1/1 ✗25%4.02–
Correct scoreCS 1–0 ✓18%5.71–

Recent results

Northern Ireland – last 6

DWDWLW
5 Octvs Georgia0–0D
2 Oct@ Ukraine3–0W
28 Sepvs Hungary0–0D
25 Sep@ Georgia1–0W
8 Jun@ France1–3L
4 Junvs Guinea1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Ukraine – last 6

LLDWWW
5 Octvs Hungary1–2L
2 Octvs Northern Ireland0–3L
28 Sep@ Georgia0–0D
25 Sep@ Hungary1–0W
31 May@ Poland2–0W
31 Marvs Albania1–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Oct 2026Ukraine v Northern Ireland0–3
Northern Ireland vs Ukraine head-to-head page →

UEFA Nations League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Northern Ireland5320+511
2Hungary5311+310
3Ukraine5113-44
4Georgia5023-42

More UEFA Nations League predictions

League hub
FT Kosovo0Israel0 Under 3.5 1.33 74%
FT Norway3Wales1 1 1.28 71%
FT Georgia0Hungary2 Under 2.5 1.53 68%
FT Portugal1Denmark4 Over 2.5 1.50 63%
FT Austria1Rep. Of Ireland0 Over 1.5 1.28 75%
FT Romania2Poland1 X2 1.22 82%
FT Sweden3Bosnia & Herzegovina2 Over 1.5 1.22 76%

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Our tip is Under 2.5 goals (68% chance), priced at 1.48.

Who will win Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Northern Ireland win 48% of the time on our model, the draw 24%, Ukraine 28%.

How many goals will there be in Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Around 1.8 goals on our projection – 32% for over 2.5 and 48% for both teams to score.

What is the predicted score for Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

ScoreVoro predicts Northern Ireland 1–0 Ukraine. Total goals projected: 1.8.

When is Northern Ireland vs Ukraine?

Northern Ireland vs Ukraine (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Windsor Park.

Numbers from ScoreVoro's team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.